How do we use velocity without turning it into a target?

Forecast metric misuse

Use historical team delivery information cautiously for planning, with awareness of changes in work and context. Avoid rewarding higher numbers, which can distort estimation without increasing useful output.

What to do now

  1. Clarify the planning purpose
  2. Use comparable historical data
  3. Account for team and scope changes
  4. Pair forecasts with outcome and quality evidence
Recommended action flow for forecast metric misuse: Clarify the planning purpose then Use comparable historical data then Account for team and scope changes then Pair forecasts with outcome and quality evidence. Escalate when the metric is being used to pressure artificial estimate inflation.

When to escalate

Escalate when

The metric is being used to pressure artificial estimate inflation.

Who decides

The relevant Scrum accountability or delivery owner

Example

The team uses recent delivery patterns as one input to a forecast, not as an individual performance score.

Mistake to avoid

Demanding a fixed percentage increase in story points every iteration.

Prevent a repeat

Inspect useful outcomes and feedback; apply Scrum-specific rules only when the team is actually using Scrum.

Suggested ApprovedFlow setup

  • Tasks
  • Documents
  • Resources

Represent agreed work and evidence with enabled task features; do not imply native Scrum automation or certified Scrum compliance. See the platform

Related cases

Practice references